Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.192141 0.218701 0.247208 0.280033 0.316738 0.356469 0.402682
2025-12-28 0.157692 0.193391 0.234267 0.284364 0.343927 0.412291 0.496500
2026-01-04 0.134851 0.176348 0.226565 0.291438 0.372615 0.470392 0.596591
2026-01-11 0.115719 0.160329 0.217047 0.293813 0.394265 0.520422 0.689906
2026-01-18 0.102068 0.148986 0.211342 0.299305 0.419031 0.574973 0.791866
2026-01-25 0.092003 0.140834 0.208394 0.307311 0.446757 0.634335 0.903297
2026-02-01 0.081013 0.129794 0.199923 0.306281 0.461238 0.676040 0.992853
2026-02-08 0.071783 0.120071 0.192039 0.304833 0.474267 0.715724 1.081170
2026-02-15 0.063986 0.111512 0.184804 0.303284 0.486410 0.754174 1.169225
2026-02-22 0.059183 0.107083 0.183283 0.309955 0.510831 0.811367 1.287206
2026-03-01 0.053574 0.100627 0.177826 0.309748 0.524279 0.852518 1.383044
2026-03-08 0.048734 0.094898 0.172914 0.309793 0.537764 0.894024 1.481110
2026-03-15 0.044312 0.089551 0.168361 0.310395 0.552747 0.939649 1.589765
2026-03-22 0.041055 0.085952 0.166446 0.315227 0.574909 0.997800 1.721342
2026-03-29 0.038570 0.083510 0.166305 0.323031 0.602458 1.066029 1.872616
2026-04-05 0.035611 0.079784 0.163445 0.325661 0.621106 1.120424 2.003860
2026-04-12 0.033384 0.077260 0.162551 0.331699 0.645969 1.186345 2.157368
2026-04-19 0.031684 0.075619 0.163158 0.340489 0.676178 1.262759 2.332142
2026-04-26 0.029034 0.071631 0.158777 0.339362 0.688063 1.307860 2.455141
2026-05-03 0.026604 0.067825 0.154381 0.337776 0.698831 1.351314 2.577057
2026-05-10 0.024403 0.064262 0.150133 0.336077 0.709127 1.394226 2.699756
2026-05-17 0.023206 0.062894 0.150353 0.343396 0.737148 1.470496 2.885455
2026-05-24 0.021473 0.060025 0.147070 0.343169 0.750253 1.519810 3.024277